MHD simulations of CME propagation in the solar wind will be performed.
Dynamic adaptive grid refinement techniques will be used.
CMEs will be generated as described above and their propagation in numerically obtained
solar wind solutions
will be studied. The dependence of
the time-of-arrival on initial CME speed and ambient solar wind
speed, the interaction with sector boundaries and corotating
interaction regions, and the evolution of the out-of-the-ecliptic
component of the magnetic field during propagation are points of interest
[10-13].
Contrary to what one might expect, observations show that the transit time for a CME
to travel to 1 AU is roughly 80 hours and independent of the CME velocity observed
near the Sun. This will be investigated in the simulations.
The formation of shock fronts induced by fast CMEs
propagating with super-Alfvénic speeds will be investigated in
detail. It will especially be interesting to see whether multiple
interacting shock fronts of various MHD shock types can be formed
.
The formation of slow shocks induced by
sub-Alfvénic CMEs will also be studied [7]. It is important to study how
shock properties change when the plasma
changes during the
propagation and when critical points are passed.
This part of the project requires comparison with LASCO observations.
In addition, radio observations may be crucial for the identification and study of
the CME related MHD shock interactions
.
In-situ satellite observations of the structure of magnetic clouds at 1 AU will be compared
with the resulting structure of CMEs after propagation to 1 AU
.
The CME propagation simulations from the Sun outward will be
compared with in- and out-of-ecliptic satellite observations
(Wind, ULYSSES). Simulations of CME propagation between 1 and 5 AU
for particularly favorable satellite configurations, like
Wind-ULYSSES radial or longitudinal alignments will be compared
with observations[15].
Solar energetic particle (SEP) events in the interplanetary medium sometimes accompany a CME. The accelerated particles are an important diagnostic of the CME evolution and its interaction with the ambient solar wind. The origin of the solar energetic proton events, observed in the Earth's vicinity, will be checked by tracing back the energetic particles to the Sun using the global inner heliospheric magnetic field obtained from the MHD simulations. The energetic particles arriving at the orbit of SOHO are detected as the ‘snow storm’ of cosmic ray hits on the LASCO and EIT CCD detectors. The current, widely accepted paradigm is that impulsive and gradual SEP events are of different origin: impulsive events being flare associated and gradual events being associated with fast CMEs that drive interplanetary shocks .