SIDC URSIGRAM 40130
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 30 Jan 2004, 1230UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 30 Jan 2004 until 01 Feb 2004)
SOLAR FLARES  : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Minor geomagnetic storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 30 Jan 2004  10CM FLUX: 097 / AP: 019
PREDICTIONS FOR 31 Jan 2004  10CM FLUX: 099 / AP: 040
PREDICTIONS FOR 01 Feb 2004  10CM FLUX: 100 / AP: 037
COMMENT: A few small sunspots have appeared on the solar disk, but none of them
are very active. We therefore expect solar activity to remain very low.
The solar wind speed has already started to increase due to the large
transequatorial coronal hole. The speed is currently at 700km/s, but still
increasing. The IMF is alternating between north and south orientation.
Geomagnetic conditions are still quiet, but are expected to reach minor storm
conditions later today and for the following days.



SOLAR INDICES FOR 29 Jan 2004
SUNSPOT INDEX       : 023
10CM SOLAR FLUX     : 087
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 015
AK WINGST           : 008
ESTIMATED AP        : 008

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC   XRAY OP 10CM     TYPE          Catania NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
BT