:Issued: 2007 Jul 09 1145 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 70709 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 09 Jul 2007, 1131UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 09 Jul 2007 until 11 Jul 2007) SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 09 Jul 2007 10CM FLUX: 076 / AP: 001 PREDICTIONS FOR 10 Jul 2007 10CM FLUX: 078 / AP: 011 PREDICTIONS FOR 11 Jul 2007 10CM FLUX: 079 / AP: 024 COMMENT: Solar activity is expected to reach eruptive levels with chances of C-class flaring activity from NOAA AR 0963. Geomagnetic activity is expected to reach active condition levels during the next 48 hours, due to a fast solar wind stream from a coronal hole. Active conditions are expected late on July 10. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 014, BASED ON 06 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 8 Jul 2007 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : /// 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 075 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 007 AK WINGST : 004 ESTIMATED AP : 003 ESTIMATED ISN : 010, BASED ON 13 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#