:Issued: 2007 Jan 04 1235 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 70104 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 04 Jan 2007, 1226UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 04 Jan 2007 until 06 Jan 2007) SOLAR FLARES : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares) GEOMAGNETISM : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 04 Jan 2007 10CM FLUX: 082 / AP: 017 PREDICTIONS FOR 05 Jan 2007 10CM FLUX: 083 / AP: 008 PREDICTIONS FOR 06 Jan 2007 10CM FLUX: 082 / AP: 003 COMMENT: Three sunspot groups present on the solar disc (NOAA ARs 0933, 0934, 0935) did not produce any significant flares during the last two days. We expect the flaring activity to remain below the C-level, although an occasional C-flare is possible (although unlikely). The Earth is still inside the fast solar wind stream from a low-latitude coronal hole in the southern hemisphere. Active geomagnetic conditions are possible, but we expect the geomagnetic situation to become quiet in the coming hours. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 028, BASED ON 05 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 3 Jan 2007 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : /// 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 081 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 036 AK WINGST : 020 ESTIMATED AP : 022 ESTIMATED ISN : 027, BASED ON 08 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu. # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#