:Issued: 2012 Jan 15 1238 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu
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# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #
# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #
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SIDC URSIGRAM 20115
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 15 Jan 2012, 1151UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 15 Jan 2012 until 17 Jan 2012)
SOLAR FLARES  : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 15 Jan 2012  10CM FLUX: 135 / AP: 001
PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Jan 2012  10CM FLUX: 137 / AP: 009
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Jan 2012  10CM FLUX: 140 / AP: 004
COMMENT: The C4.1 flare that erupted around noon yesterday, originating
in an active region at the east limb (NOAA 11401), evolved into an M1
flare. We expect C-flaring conditions for the coming 24 hours and an
increase in flaring activity due to the rotating on the disk of active
regions NOAA 11401 and 11402. Geomagnetic conditions remain quiet, with
a possibility of minor disturbances due to the high speed wind stream
from a narrow coronal hole.



TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 097, BASED ON 08 STATIONS.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 14 Jan 2012
WOLF NUMBER CATANIA    : 119
10CM SOLAR FLUX        : 132
AK CHAMBON LA FORET    : 006
AK WINGST              : 003
ESTIMATED AP           : 002
ESTIMATED ISN          : 076, BASED ON 19 STATIONS.

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
BT
 
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