:Issued: 2012 Sep 06 1142 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 20906 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 06 Sep 2012, 1136UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 06 Sep 2012 until 08 Sep 2012) SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 06 Sep 2012 10CM FLUX: 133 / AP: 010 PREDICTIONS FOR 07 Sep 2012 10CM FLUX: 130 / AP: 007 PREDICTIONS FOR 08 Sep 2012 10CM FLUX: 129 / AP: 007 COMMENT: Catania 64 (NOAA AR 1560) produced an M1.6 flare with peak time at 04:13 UT this morning. We expect this region, together with Catania 67 (NOAA AR 1564), to produce more C-flares, with a small chance for another M-class flare. Geomagnetic conditions are returning to quiet levels. Quiet to unsettled (K max 3) geomagnetic conditions are expected in the coming days. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 078, BASED ON 14 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 5 Sep 2012 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : 186 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 133 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 032 AK WINGST : 025 ESTIMATED AP : 029 ESTIMATED ISN : 081, BASED ON 22 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#