:Issued: 2012 Oct 24 1251 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu
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# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #
# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #
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SIDC URSIGRAM 21024
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 24 Oct 2012, 1233UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 24 Oct 2012 until 26 Oct 2012)
SOLAR FLARES  : Active (M-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 24 Oct 2012  10CM FLUX: 142 / AP: 005
PREDICTIONS FOR 25 Oct 2012  10CM FLUX: 140 / AP: 005
PREDICTIONS FOR 26 Oct 2012  10CM FLUX: 138 / AP: 004
COMMENT: Solar activity is low, with only a few occasional C flares.
Only active region NOAA11598 keeps the potential for an M flare, and
possibly an X flare. Indeed, it is still growing, mainly in its
following part, and it keeps its beta-delta magnetic configuration. As
it is now approaching the solar central meridian, any CME spawned by
this region will be Earth-directed in the coming 6 to 7 days. With the
current slow and and very steady solar wind, we expect quiet geomagnetic
conditions for the next 3 days.

TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 063, BASED ON 14 STATIONS.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 23 Oct 2012
WOLF NUMBER CATANIA    : 094
10CM SOLAR FLUX        : 142
AK CHAMBON LA FORET    : 014
AK WINGST              : 008
ESTIMATED AP           : 008
ESTIMATED ISN          : 061, BASED ON 23 STATIONS.

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
BT
 
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