:Issued: 2012 Feb 01 1236 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu
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# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #
# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #
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SIDC URSIGRAM 20201
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 01 Feb 2012, 1221UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 01 Feb 2012 until 03 Feb 2012)
SOLAR FLARES  : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 01 Feb 2012  10CM FLUX: 118 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 02 Feb 2012  10CM FLUX: 118 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 03 Feb 2012  10CM FLUX: 119 / AP: 018
COMMENT: Flaring activity has been low in the past 24 hours, with just
one C1.0 flare on February 1, peaking at 04:41 UT. We expect solar
activity to remain quiet within the next 24 hours, with a slight chance
for a C flare.
LASCO C2 has first observed a CME directed towards the west at 17:12 UT
on January 31. According to COR2 A imagery, there is a possibility that
this CME will deliver a glancing blow to the Earth on February 5. Its
speed measured on COR2 A J-maps is 213 km/s. Geomagnetic conditions are
quiet and are expected to stay quiet on February 1 and 2. On February 3,
active geomagnetic levels are possible due to the arrival of an
anticipated coronal hole high speed stream.






TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 061, BASED ON 05 STATIONS.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 31 Jan 2012
WOLF NUMBER CATANIA    : ///
10CM SOLAR FLUX        : ///
AK CHAMBON LA FORET    : 005
AK WINGST              : 003
ESTIMATED AP           : 003
ESTIMATED ISN          : 050, BASED ON 24 STATIONS.

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
BT
 
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