SIDC ursigram

3-day-forecast of solar and geomagnetic activity.
Source SIDC (RWC-Belgium)
Frequency Daily
Format Encoded data (ISES)
Mail header SIDC ursigram
SIDC code tot

Latest issue

:Issued: 2019 Mar 18 1230 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/tot
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
SIDC URSIGRAM 90318
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 18 Mar 2019, 1230UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 18 Mar 2019 until 20 Mar 2019)
SOLAR FLARES  : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Mar 2019  10CM FLUX: 069 / AP: 005
PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Mar 2019  10CM FLUX: 070 / AP: 011
PREDICTIONS FOR 20 Mar 2019  10CM FLUX: 071 / AP: 007
COMMENT: There are no active regions visible on the solar disk. No C-class
flares in past 24 h. Solar activity is expected to remain at very low
levels.

No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected. Solar
protons have remained at background levels over the past 24 hours.

The solar wind speed is at 350 km/s with interplanetary magnetic fields of
5 nT. Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet to unsettled (K = 1 - 3) in
the past 24 h. A relatively long magnetic field with low variability
together with low temperature could have marked the arrival yesterday of
the March 12 CME. The effect of a high speed stream from a small equatorial
coronal hole, with positive magnetic field polarity, may reach the Earth in
about 24 h and cause up to active geomagnetic storm conditions (K = 4).

TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 013, BASED ON 17 STATIONS.
99999

SOLAR INDICES FOR 17 Mar 2019
WOLF NUMBER CATANIA    : ///
10CM SOLAR FLUX        : 069
AK CHAMBON LA FORET    : 011
AK WINGST              : 015
ESTIMATED AP           : 018
ESTIMATED ISN          : 000, BASED ON 27 STATIONS.

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES 
NONE
END

UMAGF 30503 90318 1004/ 17063 1/011 23212 32101
UMAGF 31523 90318 0000/ 17006 1/015 25333 31321
BT
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Details

The SIDC ursigram starts with the code SIDC URSIGRAM YMMDD, where
Y is the last digit of the year number,
MM is the number of the month,
DD is the day of the month.
Besides the ISES codes like UMAGF, UCOSE and USSPS,
this message contains a forecast on:
the global flare probability,
geomagnetic disturbances,
solar proton events.
PREDICTIONS FOR "today" : 10CM FLUX: xxx / AP: xxx
PREDICTIONS FOR "today+1": 10CM FLUX: xxx / AP: xxx
PREDICTIONS FOR "today+2": 10CM FLUX: xxx / AP: xxx
COMMENT
ESTIMATED ISN : xxx, based on xx stations.
where ISN stands for International Sunspot Number.

OBSERVED SOLAR INDICES FOR THE DAY BEFORE
SUNSPOT INDEX : xxx, the Wolf number observed by Catania
10CM SOLAR FLUX : xxx,
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : xxx,
AK WINGST : xxx,
ESTIMATED AP : xxx,
ESTIMATED ISN : xxx, based on xx stations.

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM TYPE Catania NOAA NOTE

DAY gives the day-of-the-month.
BEGIN, MAX and END give the UT time of the different phases of the X-ray output of the event.
LOC gives the location of the event in heliographic coordinates.
XRAY gives the GOES X-ray class of the event.
OP lists the optical flare class.
10cm gives the 10.7 cm radioflux output of the event.
TYPE specifies the type of radiobursts observed.
Catania gives the Catania sunspot group number where the event happened.
NOAA is the corresponding NOAA active region number.
NOTE is the header of any other type of information, e.g. if a CME was observed associated with the event.


Check the ISES code book for information on ISES codes.