SIDC forecast SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 08 Feb 2012 until 10 Feb 2012)


SOLAR FLARES  : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 08 Feb 2012  10CM FLUX: 106 / AP: 015
PREDICTIONS FOR 09 Feb 2012  10CM FLUX: 104 / AP: 014
PREDICTIONS FOR 10 Feb 2012  10CM FLUX: 100 / AP: 015
COMMENT: NOAA AR 1410 continues to produce C-class flares as it rotates
over the west limb, with a long duration C6.8 event peaking at 22:19 UT.
The activity is expected to decrease in the next 24h. Geomagnetic
conditions have ranged from quiet to active due to relatively high solar
wind speeds (~500 km/s) and long lasting negative Bz. More active
conditions can be expected for the next 48h.



TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 009, BASED ON 11 STATIONS.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 7 Feb 2012
WOLF NUMBER CATANIA    : ///
10CM SOLAR FLUX        : 107
AK CHAMBON LA FORET    : 035
AK WINGST              : 020
ESTIMATED AP           : 020
ESTIMATED ISN          : 024, BASED ON 14 STATIONS.

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA NOTE
NONE
END